The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which
had bounced back in May, reversed course in June. The Index now
stands at 103.9 (1985=100), down from 108.5 in May. The Present
Situation Index decreased to 127.9 from 136.1 in May. The
Expectations Index edged down to 87.9 from 90.1.
The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a
representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey
is conducted for The Conference Board by TNS. TNS is the world's
largest custom research company. The cutoff date for June's
preliminary results was June 19th.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board
Consumer Research Center: "A perceived softening in present-day
business and employment conditions are the major reasons behind this
month's pull-back in confidence. In fact, the Present Situation
Index now stands at levels not seen since the final quarter of last
year. Looking ahead, consumers remain rather subdued about
short-term economic prospects. All in all, the glass remains half
empty and half full."
Consumers' appraisal of present-day conditions was
less upbeat in June. Those claiming conditions are "good" declined
to 27.4 percent from 29.0 percent. Those saying conditions are "bad"
increased to 16.4 percent from 14.6 percent. Consumers were also
less positive about the job market. Those saying jobs are "hard to
get" inched up to 21.1 percent from 19.7 percent. Those claiming
jobs are "plentiful" fell to 27.0 percent from 29.1 percent in May.
Consumers remain guarded about short-term
prospects. Those anticipating business conditions to improve in the
next six months rose slightly to 16.1 percent from 15.3 percent.
Those expecting business conditions to worsen, however, edged up to
11.0 percent from 10.2 percent.
Once again, the outlook for the labor market was
mixed. Those expecting more jobs in the months ahead edged up to
14.0 percent from 13.6, while those anticipating fewer jobs also
increased to 17.0 percent from 15.6 percent. The proportion of
consumers expecting their incomes to increase in the months ahead
was relatively unchanged at 18.7 percent.