The Conference Board Consumer
Confidence Index, which had decreased in March, retreated
further in April. The Index now stands at 104.0 (1985=100), down
from 108.2 in March. The Present Situation Index decreased to
131.3 from 138.5 in March. The Expectations Index declined to
85.8 from 87.9.
The Consumer Confidence Survey
is based on a representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households.
The monthly survey is conducted for The Conference Board by TNS.
TNS is the world's largest custom research company. The cutoff
date for April's preliminary results was April 17th.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of
The Conference Board Consumer Research Center: "Unlike the
decline in March, which was solely the result of apprehension
about the short-term outlook, this month's decline was a
combination of weakening expectations and a less favorable
assessment of present-day conditions. Rising prices at the gas
pump continue to play a key role in dampening consumers'
short-term expectations. The decline in the Present Situation
Index — the first decline in six months — warrants monitoring in
the months ahead, as further declines would suggest a softening
in growth."
Consumers' appraisal of
current-day conditions was less positive in April. Those
claiming conditions are "good" declined to 26.5 percent from
28.6 percent. Those saying conditions are "bad" edged up to 15.0
percent from 14.5 percent. Consumers were also less upbeat about
labor market conditions. Those saying jobs are "hard to get"
rose to 20.4 percent from 18.9 percent. Those claiming jobs are
"plentiful" decreased to 27.8 percent from 30.3 percent in
March.
Consumers continue to view the
short-term outlook with a degree of caution. Those anticipating
business conditions to worsen in the next six months rose to
10.2 percent from 9.8 percent. Consumers expecting business
conditions to improve decreased to 13.5 percent from 14.5
percent.
The outlook for the labor
market did not change significantly. Consumers expecting fewer
jobs in the months ahead dipped to 15.7 percent from 16.0
percent. Those anticipating more jobs to become available edged
up to 12.9 percent from 12.7 percent. The proportion of
consumers expecting their incomes to increase in the months
ahead declined to 17.0 percent from 18.0 percent in March.