The Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index, which had dipped in
June, rebounded in July. The Index now stands
at 112.6 (1985=100), up from 105.3 in June. The Present Situation
Index increased to 139.2 from 129.9 in June. The Expectations Index
rose to 94.8 from 88.8.
The Consumer Confidence Survey is based on a
representative sample of 5,000 U.S. households. The monthly survey
is conducted for The Conference Board by TNS. TNS is the world's
largest custom research company. The cutoff date for July's
preliminary results was July 24th.
Says Lynn Franco, Director of The Conference Board
Consumer Research Center: "The rebound in Consumer Confidence has
catapulted the Index to its highest reading in nearly six years
(August 2001, 114.0). An improvement in business conditions and the
job market has lifted consumers' spirits in July. The Present
Situation Index is also at a near six-year high (August 2001 144.5).
Looking ahead, consumers are more upbeat about short-term economic
prospects, mainly the result of a decline in the number of
pessimists, not an increase in the number of optimists. This rebound
in confidence suggests economic activity may gather a little
momentum in the coming months."
Consumers were considerably more positive about
current-day conditions in July than they were in June. Those
claiming conditions are "good" increased to 28.1 percent from 27.3
percent. Those saying conditions are "bad" decreased to 14.4 percent
from 16.1 percent. Consumers were also more upbeat about the job
market. Those saying jobs are "hard to get" declined to 18.4 percent
from 20.5 percent. Those claiming jobs are "plentiful" improved to
30.5 percent from 27.6 percent in June.
Consumers were also less pessimistic about the
short-term outlook. Those expecting business conditions to worsen in
the next six months declined to 8.0 percent from 10.8 percent.
However, those anticipating business conditions to improve dipped to
15.4 percent from 16.2 percent.
The outlook for the labor market continued to be
mixed. The percent of consumers expecting more jobs in the months
ahead was virtually unchanged at 14.1 percent, while those
anticipating fewer jobs decreased to 15.1 percent from 17.0 percent.
The proportion of consumers expecting their incomes to increase in
the months ahead declined to 18.8 percent from 19.4 percent in June.